Cardiff North Gwilym Jones 16,334 24,460 5,294 1,201 0 Cardiff North 21,547 18,578 6,487 916 207 Conservative The principality of Wales has never been very fruitful ground for the Conservative party, even when they have been winning a general elections in the rest of the United Kingdom. They have often been reduced to a handful of seats, as in 1992 when they won only eight of the 38 constituencies in Wales. In particular the Tories did badly in the capital city of Cardiff, losing the Central constituency really rather badly having won it in 1987, and being reduced to a lead of under 3,000 in the other Cardiff seat with a high proportion of owner occupiers and middle-class and professional workers, Cardiff North. The north side of Cardiff has always been its favoured residential area. Cardiff North is over 80 per cent owner occupied and over 70 per cent middle-class. Here are attractive neighbourhoods like Whitchurch and Rhiwbina and Heath Park. It does not look the part of a marginal. Yet it has now become a Labour target. On unchanged boundaries a swing of only 3 per cent is needed for the Tories' last seat in Cardiff to fall. As in that other fine capital city, Edinburgh, the Conservatives have come to under-perform quite seriously among the governmental and professional public sector workers in a seat of administration.

	2,825	9.16	9.03	101
	8,896	28.85	11.17	258
	3,036	9.84	11.25	88
	5,937	19.25	14.70	131
	1,117	3.62	10.45	35
	178	0.58	2.81	21
	2,558	8.29	8.01	104
	5,540	17.96	15.25	118
	454	1.47	7.13	21
	177	0.57	10.17	6