Election 97

Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire


Result 97 gain
from Labour
Current MP 97 NEW SEAT
Majority 0 ( 0.0%)
Conservative 97 11,335 (26.6%)
Labour 97 20,956 (49.1%)
LibDem 97 3,516 ( 8.2%)
Nationalist 97 5,402 (12.7%)
Other 97 1,432 ( 3.4%)
Elected party 97
Electorate 97 55,724
Turnout 97 42,641 (76.5%)



1992 MP NEW SEAT
Old constituency name NEW SEAT
Majority 92 1,310 ( 3.0%)
Conservative 92 15,278 (35.5%)
Labour 92 16,588 (38.5%)
LibDem 92 4,672 (10.9%)
Nationalist 92 6,497 (15.1%)
Other 92 0 ( 0.0%)
Elected party 92 Labour
Electorate 92 55,393
Turnout 92 43,035 (77.7%)
Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire



Tory change -8.9%
Labour change +10.6%
Lib Dem change -2.6%
Nationalist change -2.4%
Other change +3.4%
Electorate change +0.6%
Turnout Change -1.2%
Robert Waller wrote

Wales has been awarded two extra seats for the next general election. These are situated at opposite ends of the country, one in the north east, in what was still Clwyd at the time of the boundary changes, and one is in the south west in what was then the county of Dyfed (the Welsh counties have since been replaced by unitary local authorities).

The new seat in the south west is the rather clumsily named Carmarthen West and South Pembrokeshire. It consists of parts of two former seats, Carmarthen and Pembroke. Both of these were marginal, but both were held by Labour in 1992. However they were of different characteristics. Pembroke was a Labour-Conservative battle, gained by Labour last time. The South Pembrokeshire part of that seat includes both Tory-inclined seaside resorts such as Tenby and Saundersfoot, and the less genteel and more workaday town of Pembroke Dock.

The Carmarthen seat, though, was a marginal between Labour and the Welsh Nationalists, Plaid Cymru, whose former leader Gwynfor Evans had more than one spell as MP here. It is more rural and more dependent on agriculture than Pembrokeshire, but the Tories cannot rely on that as a source of victory in Wales, particularly in the Welsh-speaking parts. The consequence is that Labour must be favourite to win this brand new seat, especially because of the division of opposition to them between Conservative and Plaid Cymru.


Super Profiles

1,184 3.66 9.03 41
7,461 23.07 11.17 207
1,643 5.08 11.25 45
2,840 8.78 14.70 60
462 1.43 10.45 14
5,398 16.69 2.81 593
4,018 12.42 8.01 155
5,161 15.96 15.25 105
1,867 5.77 7.13 81
1,784 5.52 10.17 54