Election 97

Ceredigion


Result 97 hold
Current MP 97 Cynog Dafis
Majority 0 ( 0.0%)
Conservative 97 5,983 (14.9%)
Labour 97 9,767 (24.3%)
LibDem 97 6,616 (16.5%)
Nationalist 97 16,728 (41.6%)
Other 97 1,092 ( 2.7%)
Elected party 97
Electorate 97 54,378
Turnout 97 40,186 (73.9%)



1992 MP Cynog Dafis
Old constituency name Ceredigion and Pembroke North
Majority 92 1,893 ( 4.5%)
Conservative 92 10,178 (24.0%)
Labour 92 7,889 (18.6%)
LibDem 92 11,251 (26.5%)
Nationalist 92 13,144 (31.0%)
Other 92 0 ( 0.0%)
Elected party 92 Nationalist
Electorate 92 54,467
Turnout 92 42,462 (78.0%)
Ceredigion



Tory change -9.1%
Labour change +5.7%
Lib Dem change -10.0%
Nationalist change +10.7%
Other change +2.7%
Electorate change -0.2%
Turnout Change -4.1%
Robert Waller wrote

The Welsh Nationalists tend to find their supporters among people who prefer to speak the Welsh language, and the four seats they won in the 1992 general election are all in areas where a majority can speak Welsh, and a goodly number do so as their first tongue. These are all on the west coast of the country. Three of these seats were already held by Plaid Cymru, but one was a gain in 1992. This was the seat then known as Ceredigion and Pembroke North, which has now lost the small part of Pembrokeshire around Fishguard to become plain 'Ceredigion' - the Welsh name for the old Cardiganshire.

The man who lost his seat here last time was a Liberal Democrat, Geraint Howells, who had been MP for nearly 20 years, but who may have been perceived to have lost some of his dynamism. The winner was the Plaid's candidate Cynog Dafis, who now has good reason to believe he can repeat his success. Politics here is quite personal, conducted in Welsh, particularly among the farmers of the remote hills and valleys of the inland part of the seat. There is also a tourist industry on the coast, and quite a cosmopolitan air in the largest coastal town, the university centre of Aberystwyth. In living memory all four main parties have been competitive in the Cardigan/Ceredigion seat, but now Plaid Cymru seem to have pulled ahead - at least until Cynog Dafis is felt locally to have run out of steam.


Super Profiles

1,663 5.50 9.03 61
7,749 25.63 11.17 230
2,494 8.25 11.25 73
810 2.68 14.70 18
1,190 3.94 10.45 38
7,562 25.01 2.81 889
2,845 9.41 8.01 117
5,014 16.59 15.25 109
209 0.69 7.13 10
0 0.00 10.17 0