Election 97

Hayes and Harlington


Result 97 gain
from Conservative
Current MP 97 Terence Dicks
Majority 0 ( 0.0%)
Conservative 97 11,167 (27.2%)
Labour 97 25,458 (62.0%)
LibDem 97 3,049 ( 7.4%)
Nationalist 97 0 ( 0.0%)
Other 97 1,417 ( 3.4%)
Elected party 97
Electorate 97 56,829
Turnout 97 41,091 (72.3%)



1992 MP Terence Dicks
Old constituency name Hayes and Harlington
Majority 92 44 ( 0.1%)
Conservative 92 19,511 (44.9%)
Labour 92 19,467 (44.8%)
LibDem 92 4,477 (10.3%)
Nationalist 92 0 ( 0.0%)
Other 92 0 ( 0.0%)
Elected party 92 Conservative
Electorate 92 58,655
Turnout 92 43,455 (74.1%)
Hayes and Harlington



Tory change -17.7%
Labour change +17.2%
Lib Dem change -2.9%
Nationalist change +0.0%
Other change +3.4%
Electorate change -3.1%
Turnout Change -1.8%
Robert Waller wrote

If one travelled the streets of the west London marginal constituency of Hayes and Harlington during the days before the April 1992 election, one would have thought that Labour was on target to make a vital gain. Every fourth house or so sported a poster for the Labour candidate John McDonnell. Very few proclaimed 'I love Dicks', the rather engaging slogan for the sitting right wing Tory MP Terry Dicks. Yet, when the votes were counted, Dicks had been returned to Westminster by the slender margin of 53 votes.

Perhaps Conservatives had been reluctant to flout publicly the 'politically correct' line that holds that Labour support is based on caring values, while Conservatism is associated by some with economic self-interest. This may be associated with the same reasons why the opinion polls consistently underestimated the Conservatives' chances in the general election as a whole.

The Tories' ability to win Hayes and Harlington shows how they have won general elections since 1979. This is not a glamorous seat, but a gritty lower middle-class and working-class part of west London, around Heathrow Airport, with a substantial non-white population, mainly Sikh.

The Conservatives are tipped not to win the next general election, and in that case they certainly would not win Hayes and Harlington either. Terry Dicks is not standing again, and this time a majority of the voters really might 'love' John McDonnell.


Super Profiles

0 0.00 9.03 0
57 0.18 11.17 2
5,680 17.57 11.25 156
5,350 16.55 14.70 113
10,693 33.07 10.45 317
0 0.00 2.81 0
2,559 7.92 8.01 99
3,316 10.26 15.25 67
2,721 8.42 7.13 118
912 2.82 10.17 28