Election 97

Hereford


Result 97 gain
from Conservative
Current MP 97 Sir Colin Shepherd
Majority 0 ( 0.0%)
Conservative 97 18,550 (35.3%)
Labour 97 6,596 (12.6%)
LibDem 97 25,198 (47.9%)
Nationalist 97 0 ( 0.0%)
Other 97 2,209 ( 4.2%)
Elected party 97
Electorate 97 69,864
Turnout 97 52,553 (75.2%)



1992 MP Sir Colin Shepherd
Old constituency name Hereford
Majority 92 3,154 ( 5.7%)
Conservative 92 26,217 (47.0%)
Labour 92 5,910 (10.6%)
LibDem 92 23,063 (41.3%)
Nationalist 92 0 ( 0.0%)
Other 92 587 ( 1.1%)
Elected party 92 Conservative
Electorate 92 69,057
Turnout 92 55,777 (80.8%)
Hereford



Tory change -11.7%
Labour change +2.0%
Lib Dem change +6.6%
Nationalist change +0.0%
Other change +3.2%
Electorate change +1.2%
Turnout Change -5.5%
Robert Waller wrote

The Liberal Democrats and their predecessors have nurtured high hopes in several seats on the English side of the Welsh border in recent years, but none has aroused so much expectation as Hereford. It remains one of their top targets in the next election, although they have come so close so often that they must wonder what they have to do to win.

They have controlled and indeed dominated the city of Hereford's council for a number of years, and indeed probably obtain the most votes in the city in general elections. However the seat also includes a substantial chunk of rural South Herefordshire, including Ross and the Wye Valley, Abbey Dore and the Golden Valley, the Welsh Border and the Black Mountains. This is much better terrain for the Conservatives and their long-serving MP Sir Colin Shepherd, despite the fact that his majority has ranged from 1,112 in February 1974 to 3,413 in 1992. With a strong local candidate against him in 1997, he must expect yet another close run thing.


Super Profiles

2,581 6.54 9.03 72
6,659 16.87 11.17 151
2,664 6.75 11.25 60
5,318 13.47 14.70 92
2,284 5.79 10.45 55
4,150 10.51 2.81 374
4,936 12.50 8.01 156
5,121 12.97 15.25 85
2,928 7.42 7.13 104
1,994 5.05 10.17 50