|
|
|
Wirral South

|
|
gain
from Conservative
|
|
Ben Chapman
|
|
0 ( 0.0%)
|
|
17,495 (36.4%)
|
|
24,499 (50.9%)
|
|
5,018 (10.4%)
|
|
0 ( 0.0%)
|
|
1,083 ( 2.3%)
|
|
|
|
59,372
|
|
48,095 (81.0%)
|

|
Ben Chapman
|
|
Wirral South
|
|
8,168 (16.2%)
|
|
25,550 (50.8%)
|
|
17,382 (34.6%)
|
|
6,572 (13.1%)
|
|
0 ( 0.0%)
|
|
765 ( 1.5%)
|
|
Conservative
|
|
62,103
|
|
50,269 (80.9%)
|
|


|
-14.5%
|
|
+16.4%
|
|
-2.6%
|
|
+0.0%
|
|
+0.7%
|
|
-4.4%
|
|
+0.1%
|
|
|
|
|

Wirral South is notable for having seen the last by-election of the current parliament, and one that saw Labour win the seat with a swing of 17 per cent against the Conservatives. To all intents and purposes this ought to be a safe Tory seat. There are Labour-voting areas in the more industrial east of the constituency on the Mersey estuary, but the bulk of the electorate here is composed of middle-class owner-occupiers. Like many such contests, the recent by-election will have seen a significant protest vote, which the Conservatives would normally expect to win back come the general election. The interesting feature here is the size of the swing against the Tories, so close to the general election, which must raise the possibility that Labour might just hang on at the national poll.
|

|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7,341
|
23.43
|
9.03
|
259
|
|
|
3,558
|
11.36
|
11.17
|
102
|
|
|
7,275
|
23.22
|
11.25
|
206
|
|
|
3,114
|
9.94
|
14.70
|
68
|
|
|
0
|
0.00
|
10.45
|
0
|
|
|
222
|
0.71
|
2.81
|
25
|
|
|
1,715
|
5.47
|
8.01
|
68
|
|
|
4,391
|
14.01
|
15.25
|
92
|
|
|
2,483
|
7.92
|
7.13
|
111
|
|
|
1,235
|
3.94
|
10.17
|
39
|
|
|