Bristol North West Michael Stern 16,193 27,575 7,263 0 2,605 Bristol North West 23,148 27,019 8,849 0 703 Labour At the 1992 election the Conservative MP Michael Stern held onto the marginal north-western division of Bristol by just 45 votes, the second closest margin in the whole of the United Kingdom. However things have changed since, and in a way which makes it almost impossible for Stern to hold the seat for his party. Only one ward is shifted, but it is a critical one. North West loses its Conservative stronghold, Westbury on Trym, which goes to boost William Waldegrave's chances in the neighbouring Bristol West. There have been seven different MPs in Bristol NW since the war. It is classic marginal territory, with Labour wards like Avonmouth almost balanced by more middle-class areas like Horfield, and it stretches beyond the city limits to Filton and Patchway. The chances are very strong that North West will register an eighth postwar MP in the shape of Bristol councillor Doug Naysmith, who was so narrowly denied five years ago.

	671	1.56	9.03	17
	2,513	5.85	11.17	52
	4,973	11.58	11.25	103
	10,873	25.32	14.70	172
	1,921	4.47	10.45	43
	0	0.00	2.81	0
	1,551	3.61	8.01	45
	13,510	31.46	15.25	206
	2,017	4.70	7.13	66
	4,796	11.17	10.17	110